Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe weather near Lake Wales

PolkUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 20 July 2026 at 18:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 20 at 1:48PM EDT until July 20 at 2:45PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL

An estimated 221,786 people live within 50 km of this point.

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates27.8386, -81.4455
Nearest CityLake Wales (16 km)
Population Exposed221.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-20T17:48:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a2a819d3687129b3d01f2ee9fdcc167b

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescVolusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm; Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm; Tampa Bay waters
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued July 20 at 1:48PM EDT until July 20 at 2:45PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
Expires2026-07-20T14:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Melbourne FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a2a819d3687129b3d01f2ee9fdcc167b30c83944.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a9d3a6630448a85d52e4a2baf386e314056721bb.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Lake Wales (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.